Why the Republican Healthcare Bill Works for Trump’s Voters
The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its report on the Republican healthcare bill this week and as expected, it was devastating.
The CBO said among other things that the bill, if it manages to become law, will swell the rank of Americans who are uninsured by 22 million over the next decade.
That assessment is similar to CBO’s report following the release of the House Republican healthcare bill a few weeks ago, except the number was 23 million.
Despite that analysis, Senate Republicans led by Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and John Cornyn (R-Tx.) are hell-bent on passing the bill.
Why are they so desperate to throw millions of Americans off health insurance? Why is it impossible for them to look at Americans and feel the need to help, instead of hurting them?
Is there something Mitch McConnell knows that the rest of us seem to be missing?
The assumption is that these 22 million Americans are mostly minorities and the GOP does not care about minorities.
It is true GOP has proven over time to care less what Blacks and Hispanics think about them or their policies. But surely, not all 22 million of these potentially uninsured Americans are minorities?
National health experts believe poor White Americans will be affected should this bill become law.
Contrary to what you may have read in a few national publications, majority of these poor White Americans may not have voted for the GOP or Donald Trump in the last presidential election.
Recent analysis have shown that while majority of GOP and Trump’s voters during the last election were indeed overwhelmingly white, they were not poor, so in his quest to dismantle Obamacare, Mitch McConnell is not really hurting the party’s base.
The American National Election Study, the longest-running election survey in the United States, released its 2016 survey data a few weeks ago.
“And it showed that in November 2016, the Trump coalition looked a lot like it did during the primaries,” wrote Duke University’s Nicholas Carnes and Vanderbilt University’s Noam Lupu recently in The Washington Post.
“Trump’s voters weren’t overwhelmingly poor. In the general election, like the primary, about two-thirds of Trump supporters came from the better-off half of the economy.”
“In short, the narrative that attributes Trump’s victory to a ‘coalition of mostly blue-collar white and working-class voters’ just doesn’t square with the 2016 election data,” they argued.
The pair said that just because a person does not have a college degree does not mean the person is “poor” as most Americans tend to define poverty.
“Many analysts have argued that the partisan divide between more and less educated people is bigger than ever. During the general election, 69 percent of Trump voters in the election study didn’t have college degrees. Isn’t that evidence that the working class made up most of Trump’s base? The truth is more complicated: many of the voters without college educations who supported Trump were relatively affluent,” they argued.
So what does this really mean? If most “poor” Americans whether they are White, Black or Hispanic did not vote for Donald Trump, how did he manage to win the election?
The answer is not as complicated as you might think.
Donald Trump didn’t win the election. Hillary Clinton lost it. She did so by neglecting the three states she needed to clinch victory – Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan.
The GOP healthcare bill works for those who voted for Donald Trump. They are white and affluent, not poor as most Americans have been led to believe, and that may be why Mitch McConnell is pushing hard to get it passed.
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