Democrat Victorious in New Hampshire State Senate Special Election
Democrat Kevin Cavanaugh scored a decisive victory Tuesday in New Hampshire State Senate District 16 special election. He defeated Republican David Boutin and Libertarian Jason Dubrow.
New Hampshire’s District 16 seat became vacant following the death of Democrat Scott McGilvray in March. The district covers Bow, Dunbarton, Candia, Hooksett and parts of Manchester.
The New Hampshire State Democratic Party describes the win as the first Democratic win in the state’s Senate special election since February 1984. Holding this seat kept the GOP’s edge in the Senate 14-to-10 and kept the Democrats within striking distance of flipping the chamber next year in apparently a promising Democratic momentum.
Senate Democratic Leader Jeff Woodburn said Tuesday night following the victory that Cavanaugh’s success was a result of him delivering “a positive message about rewarding work and standing up for working families.”
Cavanaugh victory was decisive for many reasons. His opponent was former Republican Sen. David Boutin, a popular Senator with long-established ties to moneyed interests. Also, Republicans scored a registration edge in this district (35 percent Republicans, 29 percent Democrats, and 36 percent registered as “undeclared”).
Though Clinton won the district by a narrow margin last fall, Republican Gov. John Sununu and former U.S. Sen. Kelly Ayotte both carried the seat by “substantial margins.”
The victory was achieved despite the hardwork and resources poured into the district by New Hampshire GOP who spent $61,000 on direct mail and radio advertisements.
Since Donald Trump’s election, Democrats have been scoring higher turnout in special elections. In this election, Democrats scored an 11 percent higher turnout than Clinton’s numbers last fall.
Over 5,000 phones calls were made and 6,000 doors knocked on by Democrat operatives.
Democrats have not been as successful in recent special elections for vacant positions in Georgia, South Carolina and Montana so winning this special election in New Hampshire is a morale boost for the state party.
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